PROJECT ID

PJ09 DCB

PROJECT TYPE

Industrial research

FLAGSHIP

Not applicable

STATUS

Completed

SESAR PROGRAMME

SESAR 2020

PROJECT DURATION

2016-11-01 > 2019-12-31

TOTAL COST

€ 30.226.612,19

EU CONTR.

€ 6.651.146,94

GRANT ID

731730

PARTICIPANTS

Eurocontrol, Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt, Austro Control , Direction Des Services De La Navigation Aerienne (DSNA), Enaire, Enav, Eviden, Indra Sistemas Sa, NATS, Heathrow Airport, Leonardo, Skyguide, Thales Las France , Hrvatska Kontrola Zracne Plovidbe, Aéroports de Paris, Schiphol Nederland, Stichting Koninklijk Nederlands Lucht - En Ruimtevaartcentrum, Luftfartsverket, AirNav Ireland, Naviair, Frequentis, HungaroControl, Airtel Atn , Saab Aktiebolag, Flughafen Munchen , Flughafen Zurich, Swedavia, Avinor Flysikring, Sintef

Demand Capacity Balancing (DCB) minimises disruption and optimises operations using powerful, accurate forecasting that balances demand with capacity allowing the airport to anticipate and mitigate disruption. 

DCB is a predictive decision making platform, drawing on a range of data sources including weather conditions, live flight data and airport operational data to deliver seamless, uninterrupted airside operations. The in-the-moment operational response capability ensures peak performance for the airport on-theday through proactive plans the airport operations teams create. DCB is deployed at Heathrow Airport to generate the information needed for optimal interaction of the Airport and Network Operation Plans.

Influencing Demand

DCB influences demand on the airport using Target Times of Arrival (TTAs) for aircraft. TTAs manage and reduce airborne holding in line with principles being introduced by SESAR (the Single European Sky ATM Research programme). The predictive decision-making provided by DCB smooths hotspots in demand by automatically selecting candidate flights for TTAs and moving them out of the hotspot. These include flights running earlier than scheduled that cause the peak in demand.

Airport Capacity Enhancement

DCB is one of the products and consultancy services from NATS that supports airport capacity and resilience.  NATS’ Airport Capacity Enhancement methodology identifies the optimal method to support operational needs.

Objective

The S2020 project “PJ09 Advanced DCB” evolves the existing DCB process to a powerful distributed network management function which takes full advantage from the SESAR Layered Collaborative Planning, Trajectory Management principles and SWIM Technology to improve the effectiveness of ATM resource planning and the network performance of the ATM system in Europe.
Solution 1 develops shared situation awareness with respect to demand, capacity and performance impacts. Traffic and demand forecast have improved reliability based on complexity assessment and the computation of confidence indexes. Network Operations is continuously monitored through Network Performance KPA/KPI. Network impact assessment analyses trade-offs and facilitate collaborative decision making processes.
Solution 2 forms the core functionality of the INAP process (everything which can and should be decided locally. Solution PJ09-02 is the logical follow-up of the SESAR1 Local DCB toolset. It includes: INAP management, ASM integrated into DCB, reconciliation of DCB measures with local complexity management, ATC and Arrival Management. The solution addresses the integration of Local Network Management with extended ATC planning and arrival management activities in the short-term to execution in a seamless process.
Solution 3 delivers subsidiary Network Management facilitated by a rolling NOP planning environment (including weather, demand pattern and capacity bottlenecks). Network Operations planning and Execution is managed by an agreed set of rules and procedures, guiding subsidiary DCB and UDPP measures under consideration of trade-offs and network performance targets. Collaborative 4D constraints management integrates AUs priorities and reconciles DCB measures with Airports, ACCs, AU and NM.

  

Challenges

SESAR 1 improved the predictability and reliability of planning data, thereby reducing the Air Traffic Management (ATM) capacity held in reserve for exceptional demand-capacity imbalance scenarios. Short-term air traffic flow and capacity management (ATFCM) processes have further improved the flexibility of the Network Manager (NM) to tactically manage imbalances in the network.   This resulted in a reduction in the application of ‘broad brush’ constraints and regulations. NM has developed the first step of a Collaborative Network Operations Plan (NOP) with initial integration of ATM stakeholder processes and airport operations plans (AOPs). The collaborative NOP is now a powerful tool to assist medium/short term demand capacity balancing (DCB) planning processes.

Notwithstanding that:

  • The organisation of resources across area control centres (ACCs) and the scoping of measures, from local level to full network impact assessment, need to be improved, as well as the promotion of opportunity measures over those with cost implications for airspace users;
  • The operational data shared in the NOP are still limited (in scope and time horizon), incomplete and insufficient for tactical and operational use;
  • Building upon SESAR 1, the dynamic sharing of operational data needs to be expanded to enable tailored real-time network performance assessment and to facilitate collaborative DCB processes. Further development of automated tools, monitoring relevant indicators to assess DCB measures and monitor execution against plans will allow seamless DCB management processes involving airspace users, alongside airport and en-route nodes. This will permit a proactive identification of constrained points in the network and the application of collaborative procedures to address the situation with the least number of trajectory changes as possible.

Deliverables

PJ09 Advanced DCB will develop and validate the following SESAR Solutions:

Solution 1 – Network prediction and performance. This solution will develop and validate an agreed set of network performance indicators and advanced performance monitoring; demand and complexity prediction tools to improve the real-time awareness of network performances at local and regional levels to support collaborative Network Management decision-making;

Solution 2 – Integrated Local DCB processes. This solution forms the core functionality of the integrated network management and extended ATC planning (INAP) process which can, and should, be decided locally. It is a logical follow-up to the SESAR 1 Local DCB toolset and includes INAP management, airspace management (ASM) integrated into DCB, reconciliation of DCB measures with local complexity management, ATC and arrival management;

Solution 3 – Collaborative Network Management. This solution delivers subsidiary network management based on transparency, performance targets and agreed control mechanisms. The main themes to be developed and validated are rolling NOP, network supervision, what-if impact assessment, collaborative DCB framework, reconciliation of constraints and optimisation.

Benefits

This project is expected to have a positive impact on:

  • Capacity, which will be increased as a result of improved accuracy of estimated times of sector entry and the use of complexity assessment of ATCO workload for the prediction of demand and sector capacities. In addition, capacity will be improved as a result of improved predictability (AOP/NOP, network supervision) and ATM resource planning, the identification of capacity opportunities and the reconciliation of multiple constraints;
  • Efficiency will be improved by the integration of INAP, facilitated by the integrated network working position (iNWP), which enables DCB-ATC messaging, DCB what-if, to support CDM, the synchronisation process as well as the interactivities between local actors, AUs and NM activities. Efficiency will largely be increased by the availability of shared real-time operational data and a rolling picture of the network situation used by stakeholders to prepare their plans and their inputs to the network CDM processes;
  • Cost efficiency will be increased as a consequence of more accurate demand and workload predictions and the support of the ATM resource planning and DCB decision-making by performance parameters and trade-off techniques guiding the decision-maker towards cost-effective resource planning and DCB resolution;
  • Safety & Security can be improved as a result of accurate complexity and ATCO workload prediction and the availability of a shared DCB hotspot repository. It could also be boosted as a result of shared situation awareness (including meteorological phenomena) and the identification of crisis situations at regional and local levels.  The high interconnection of information data flows is at the same incorporating cyber-attack risks and improving the ability to defend, detect and repair as soon as unauthorised access is detected by any of the partner systems involved.PJ09 will perform a cyber-security assessment on the AOP/NOP and B2B services involved in the DCB process to mitigate the risks;
  • Predictability is expected to improve via:
    • determination of the probable demand, the consideration of planned ATFCM measures and the consideration and processing of airspace users’ shared flight information; and
    • by sharing real-time operational data and a rolling picture of the network situation used by stakeholders to prepare their plans and their inputs to the network CDM processes;
  • Flexibility: The availability of real-time AOP/NOP data and monitoring tools with alert functions for critical situations will serve as an enabler for the ATM service providers and AUs to be more pro-active in managing upcoming events with the aim of minimising the adverse impact on performance;
  • Participation is achieved by enabling stakeholder collaboration earlier in the planning phase and facilitating commitment to network performance optimum and favouring transparency.

Related projects

Project PJ09 is addressing the performance-driven balancing of traffic demand and ATM capacity in a collaborative process with all ATM service providers and AUs involved. In this context, PJ09 acts as a bridge function between a number of SESAR 2020 projects (such as PJ01, PJ04, PJ07, PJ08 and PJ18). By doing so, it ensures effective coordination of local AUs and ATM planning functionalities in the SESAR 2020 horizon.

European Union
Advanced demand capacity balancing (DCB))