7.5 Associated risks
The Master Plan addresses the most significant risks associated with the delivery of the vision and the associated performance ambitions (Table 16). The presence of risks does not mean that they will actually materialise; rather, it means that the risks have been identified and are to be adequately managed so that they do not affect the execution of the Master Plan.
Risk | Impact | Mitigation action |
---|---|---|
Investments in deployment priorities identified in the Master Plan are not supported. |
Phase C deployment milestone (by 2035) is not met. |
SES instruments work hand in hand (as of reference period 4) to promote investments in SDOs. |
Delay in CP1 implementation |
Phase C deployment milestone (by 2035) is not met. |
Monitoring of CP1 implementation progress by the SESAR Deployment Manager (SESAR DM). |
Delay in delivering the last SESAR solution for phase C |
Phase C deployment milestone (by 2035) is not met. |
Monitoring of development progress by SESAR 3 JU. |
EASA’s regulatory framework is not sufficiently supportive for a critical mass of early movers to deploy the priorities identified in the Master Plan. |
Phase C deployment milestone (by 2035) is not met. |
The EPAS of EASA and its supporting standardisation framework is fully aligned with timelines of the Master Plan. |
There is no incentive for early movers to deploy ahead of everyone else. |
Phase C deployment milestone (by 2035) is not met. |
Digital Sky Demonstrators are expanded to cover the full scope of strategic deployment priorities, becoming also regulatory sandboxes for the Digital European Sky. EU funds (e.g. the Connecting Europe Facility, Innovation Fund and their successors under the next MFF) should be made available to support the deployment of SDOs under the next MFF, from 2028. |
Insufficient level of coordination and harmonisation of SDO deployment. |
Phase C deployment milestone (by 2035) is not met. |
Future Common Project regulations support the deployment of those SDO elements that require synchronised and harmonised roll-out at the European level. The preparation of the next Common Project starts in 2025 for adoption in 2027, supporting the roll-out of the SDOs by end of 2035. Appropriate coordination (including civil-military), harmonisation and monitoring by the relevant European actors. |
Insufficient level of global harmonisation |
Phase C deployment milestone (by 2035) is not met |
ATM functionalities within the scope of SDOs requiring global harmonisation are recognised in the ICAO’s GANP as priorities for global harmonisation fostering the necessary adaptation of the global regulatory framework. |
Failure to manage human resources properly (e.g. staff and skill shortages, human factors, competency of staff and change management). |
Delays in the deployment of phases C and D |
Adequately plan human resources to secure the sufficient availability of staff with the right skills. Involve the ATM workforce through their professional staff organisations in the development and deployment activities, training and engagement to gain social acceptance of the changes envisaged by the vision. |
Lack of resources and time to complete the development of phase D by 2030 due to increased ambition in scope for phase D |
Phase D development milestone (by 2030) is not met. |
All research resources in the ATM Innovation Pipeline are mobilised to significantly advance development priorities by 2030, and the research and development community embraces the approach to develop next-generation platforms. EU funds (research) should be made available to support further SESAR research under the next MFF from 2028. |
Table 16: Key risks and associated mitigation measures